Okay, it’s not a showdown. We’re not keeping score. But if you’re having trouble filling out your Oscar predictions and need a little help, you could do worse than these two fellas. Josh Rosenfield and David Shreve offer their guesses below, all for fun.

Best Animated Feature Nominees

Big Hero 6
The Boxtrolls
How To Train Your Dragon 2
Song of the Sea
The Tale of the Princess Kaguya

Josh Prediction: How To Train Your Dragon 2 – With the absence of The Lego Movie leaving a major power vacuum in this category, it’s tough to see an obvious front-runner. History tells us to rule out the non-American productions, and How To Train Your Dragon 2 seems the most appealing choice of the remaining three.

Dave Prediction: For all the same reasons, I also choose How to Train Your Dragon 2. I promise I won’t do this on every category.

Best Documentary Feature

Finding Vivian Maier
Last Days in Vietnam
The Salt of the Earth

Josh Prediction: Finding Vivian Maier – The Academy has rejected politically relevant or particularly potent docs in recent years, instead opting for more crowd-pleasing fare. Citizenfour‘s focus on the perils of present-day America might be enough to break the trend, but Finding Vivian Maier is the safe bet.

Dave Prediction: Right around the time the ballot submissions were due, the Netflix available documentary Virunga started making some noise. Citizenfour will likely be the remembered film from this category, but the Academy has a history of whiffing at soft lobs with documentaries (I got you, Steve James), so I’m choosing Virunga.

Best Film Editing

American Sniper
The Grand Budapest
The Imitation Game

Josh Prediction: Whiplash – The old adage goes that most Oscar categories should replace “best” with “most” to accurately reflect the films that win. If Boyhood was a stronger front-runner, it would be the obvious pick for this category, but Whiplash‘s use of editing is so conspicuous (not that that’s a bad thing, in this case) that voters will likely be drawn to it.

Dave Prediction:  It’s a relatively unpredictable year. Many times, when there’s uncertainty in determining a favorite, the voters just toss everything at one film inexplicably. And I’ve heard enough anecdotes to lose faith that the Academy members even watch the little indies that could. In the laughable category absence of Birdman, I’m going with Boyhood here.

Best Original Song

“Everything is Awesome,” The Lego Movie
“Glory,” Selma
“Grateful,” Beyond the Lights
“I’m Not Gonna Miss You,” Glen Campbell…I’ll Be Me
“Lost Stars,” Begin Again

Josh Prediction: “Glory” – The Academy likes to appear hip, when it suits them. If a rap song is nominated, it has a good shot at winning because it offers the Academy a chance to look like they’re in-touch with kids these days. Also, there’s something to be said for them deciding to throw something Selma‘s way in response to the controversy over its lack of recognition.

Dave Prediction: After this week’s terribly revealing defense offered to Hollywood Reporter by the anonymous “Brutally Honest Oscar voter,” I’m convinced this award goes to “Glory” just as one more demeaning gesture extended to Selma.

Best Production Design

The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Into the Woods
Mr. Turner

Josh Prediction: The Grand Budapest Hotel – Best = Most, which we’ll be hearing many more times in this post. Production design experts may have more informed opinions on which of these films has the best representation of the craft, but the vast majority of Oscar voters aren’t equipped to recognize it. TGBH is uniquely colorful and quirky, and that should be enough.

Dave Prediction: I’m using the eye test plus the benefit of the doubt here. This has to be The Grand Budapest Hotel. I won’t faint if they wrongly offer the statue to Into the Woods.

Best Sound Editing

American Sniper
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies

Josh Prediction: American Sniper – Full disclosure: I have absolutely no idea what makes for good sound editing. Luckily, the same is true of most Oscar voters, so predicting the two sound categories is usually pretty simple. Usually I’d go with whichever film is the loudest, but Interstellar had all that controversy over its sound being terrible, so barring a Birdman sweep, American Sniper is a solid pick.

Dave Prediction: I can’t even believe Interstellar is nominated here. I don’t think Birdman has the auditory umph. I’m going with American Sniper.

Best Sound Mixing

American Sniper

Josh Prediction: Whiplash – See above. This film relies on sound more than any of the other nominees, making its work in this particular field plain to see. It could go to American Sniper — bullets whizzing around in surround-sound is irresistible — but my gut says Whiplash.

Dave Prediction:  I agree. Whiplash is a movie about sound, but I think these two awards will be paired to one winner, and I’m still not convinced enough Academy voters watched Whiplash. I’m going with American Sniper again.

Best Visual Effects

Captain America: The Winter Soldier
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Guardians of the Galaxy
X-Men: Days of Future Past

Josh Prediction: Interstellar – The Academy loves practical effects. More importantly, this is the “classy” choice; Best Picture nominees always win this category if they’re nominated in it, and while Interstellar isn’t up for Best Picture, it had a much better chance than the other four of getting in.

Dave Prediction: This is the one award I said that Interstellar would win after I watched the movie. I haven’t seen anything to convince me otherwise.

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Steve Carell, Foxcatcher
Bradley Cooper, American Sniper
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game
Michael Keaton, Birdman
Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything

Josh Prediction: Eddie Redmayne – This is a weird year for this category, because there are so many Oscar tropes on display. Carell is a Best = Most pick, Cumberbatch plays a tragic, persecuted historical figure, and Keaton plays an actor. I actually think Cooper gives the best performance of the bunch, though I don’t like that movie very much. Keaton may be the current favorite, but history doesn’t lie. The Academy loves physical disabilities, and Redmayne is even shown deteriorating over the course of the film. It’s the kind of performance that the Academy likes to call “brave.”

Dave Prediction:  Redmayne has the upward trend right now, so to me, it’s the Lifetime Achievement nominee, Keaton, going up against the measurable and evident effects of a debilitating condition. This is almost a parody of the category. I’m going with Keaton.

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Marion Cotillard, Two Days, One Night
Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
Reese Witherspoon, Wild

Josh Prediction: Julianne Moore – Of all of the nominees in this category, only Moore gives the kind of performance that the Academy loves to award. This is one of the easier picks this year.

Dave Prediction:  Julianne Moore. And it’s about time.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Robert Duvall, The Judge
Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
Edward Norton, Birdman
Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons, Whiplash

Josh Prediction: J.K. Simmons – I mean, duh. Best = Most, and Simmons is acting harder than any of the other nominees in Whiplash. He’s loud and powerful and BIG. This is the strongest lock by far.

Dave Prediction: Has J. K. Simmons lost a Best Supporting Actor award in any Award ceremony this year? It’s him.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Laura Dern, Wild
Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game
Emma Stone, Birdman
Meryl Streep, Into the Woods

Josh Prediction: Patricia Arquette – Much like the Best Actress category this year, Best Supporting Actress is light on competition. Streep’s inclusion feels like a desperate attempt to fill that fifth slot. Arquette has a larger presence in Boyhood than the other nominees do in their films, and if nothing else that should push her to the top. Also, she gets that Oscar bait crying scene at the end.

Dave Prediction: This is the category where the Academy likes to seek the opportunity to exhibit the “boldness” of its brand with an upset. I’d say Emma Stone is the second favorite, and she just doesn’t show enough in Birdman. Meryl Streep, Academy favorite, is always a risk. But I’m sticking with a deserving Patricia Arquette.

Best Cinematography

The Grand Budapest Hotel
Mr. Turner

Josh Prediction: Birdman – This is an obvious choice. Not to be cynical, but the Oscars have never been known for their nuanced opinions. Birdman has a cool gimmick, and that’s all it needs to take this category.

Dave Prediction: The voters must have thought Birdman‘s visual strength was all cinematography and no editing, so my guess is Birdman.

Best Costume Design

The Grand Budapest Hotel
Inherent Vice
Into the Woods
Mr. Turner

Josh Prediction: The Grand Budapest Hotel – See: “Best Production Design.”

Dave Prediction: One Best Picture nominee in the bunch. I think that matters. The Grand Budapest Hotel is my pick.

Best Directing

Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Birdman
Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Bennett Miller, Foxcatcher
Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel
Morten Tyldum, The Imitation Game

Josh Prediction: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu – This is a tough one. I’m pretty sure that, as in recent years, there will be a split between Best Director and Best Picture, so whichever pick I make in one category determines my pick for the other. I’m still torn about whether Birdman or Boyhood will take Best Picture, but I think Birdman‘s unique visual style will win this category for Inarritu.

Dave Prediction: Enough has been said about Linklater’s commitment to the project, and it’s the closest thing that the Academy has to a “film that’s a love letter to film,” even if it’s not the form we’re used to. I’m guessing Linklater here.

Best Foreign Language Film

Wild Tales

Josh Prediction: Ida – It’s got a nomination in another category, which is rare for Best Foreign Language Film nominees. When it does happen, that film usually wins this category.

Dave Prediction: Here I am giving all sorts of moral criticism about the Academy’s poor handling of progressive films and movies, and I’ve only seen two of these foreign language nominees. But I’ve seen Ida, loved Ida, and I’m also going with Ida.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

The Grand Budapest Hotel
Guardians of the Galaxy

Josh Prediction: Foxcatcher – Best = Most, and Foxcatcher is a classier choice than Guardians of the Galaxy.

Dave Prediction: Just because it’s so much fun to think of Guardians of the Galaxy as an Oscar winning film, I’m going to use my wildcard on this one.

Best Original Score

Alexandre Desplat, The Grand Budapest Hotel
Alexandre Desplat, The Imitation Game
Hans Zimmer, Interstellar
Gary Yershon, Mr. Turner
Johann Johansson, The Theory of Everything

Josh Prediction: The Grand Budapest Hotel – I can’t really explain my reasoning on this one. There’s not a stand-out score in this bunch, but TGBH seems both enjoyable and inoffensive enough to come out on top. I foresee it taking a lot of the technical awards.

Dave Prediction: With Desplat competing against himself, I have to put my chips on Zimmer, just for the sexiness of his name.

Best Adapted Screenplay

American Sniper
The Imitation Game
Inherent Vice
The Theory of Everything

Josh Prediction: The Imitation Game – This film is the third-place favorite this year, right after Birdman and Boyhood across the board. It’s not contending with any of them in this category, so it finally gets some time to shine here.

Dave Prediction: I’m torn between American Sniper and The Imitation Game here. I really feel the Academy is going to want to give Sniper its moment but, as Josh has pointed out, The Imitation Game is in good standing. Flipped a coin, got The Imitation Game.

Best Original Screenplay

The Grand Budapest Hotel

Josh Prediction: Birdman – Between this, Boyhood, and Grand Budapest, there’s not an obvious choice here. I’m going with Birdman purely on gut instinct.

Dave Prediction: All that pretentious prattle that everyone is complaining about? Yep, just the sort of thing to sucker in votes. I’m going Birdman.

Best Picture

American Sniper
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
The Theory of Everything

Josh Prediction: Boyhood – My head says Birdman, but my heart says Boyhood. It’s going to be remembered for a long time, for its sheer ambition and dedication to craft alone. The Academy may not like this film more than the other nominees, but it just feels like the kind of film that wins Best Picture, right? Of course, the same could be said of Birdman, and there’s nothing the Academy loves more than films that glorify show business. Boyhood isn’t the smart bet, but at the end of the day I just don’t see Boyhood losing. If we’re halfway through the ceremony on Sunday and Birdman‘s won five awards, expect me to change my tune. But at this point, Boyhood is my pick.

Dave Prediction: Whew. Man. This one isn’t easy. I like to imagine that they call out Selma here, just to provide a WTF? moment for the ages, but, like Josh, I don’t see Boyhood losing. Its position as favorite may have narrowed, but its held that position pretty much all year.